Statistics for NiP vs Na`Vi grand final

With our readers asking for more after our previous statistical analyses during this weekend's tournament, we've dug up some numbers to break down this upcoming grand final.

We will once again start with full player statistics from the SLTV StarSeries VI finals to give you an idea of how each player has been performing for their team so far this week in Kiev.

With KPR invisible in the charts, it's worth noting that Christopher "GeT_RiGhT" Alesund currently tops the charts at 0.90 kills a round, followed by Richard "Xizt" Landström at 0.78, Ioann "Edward" Sukhariev at 0.76 and Yegor "markeloff" Markelov at 0.75.

Aside from sporting the highest headshot-% of everyone playing in the grand final (both at SLTV and over their CS:GO careers), Arseny "ceh9" Trynozhenko has also been by far the most effective pistol round player in Kiev.

NiP has won two thirds of their pistol rounds at SLTV Finals at 66,7%. The Swedes won both pistols versus Na`Vi and Virtus on the second map of each series, leading to convincing map wins. In other games they tied pistols at one.

Na`Vi ranks second at 50% and were very close to beating Virtus on de_inferno_se despite losing both pistol rounds. Similarly to NiP, they've both won and lost maps at a one-to-one record in pistols, but won each map they've won both pistols at.

Aside from being clearly the most effective pistol round player in Kiev with a pistol rating of 2.04, a total of 0.55 above NiP's Landström, Trynozhenko also sports the highest HS% out of both teams during 2013 and at SLTV finals.

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Something interesting to point out as well is that everyone from NiP aside from Robin "Fifflaren" Johansson has a lower HS% in Kiev than their 2013 average. However, Lindberg has taken over  a lot of the AWPing duties from Johansson, so those two are likely explained by the switch of weapons.

For Na`Vi on the other hand, four of their players are above their 2013 average in HS%. Markelov's jump is explained by his increased rifle usage, but for everyone else, especially Ischuk, it's a notable difference.

As far as clutching ability goes, Sergey "starix" Ischuk and Trynozhenko have both won six one-versus-X situations, including a one-on-four for Ischuk and a one-on-three for Trynozhenko.

Na`Vi's players have won a total of eleven one-on-ones, seven one-on-twos and both a one-on-three and a one-on-four. Na`Vi has won 56% of their rounds that came down to one or two players left alive for either team.

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NiP on the other hand haven't needed as many clutches, with Alesund having won a one-on-four, and the team only having won two one-on-twos and four one-on-ones as a whole. NiP's close round win-rate is just 41%.

However, for NiP the close rounds account for only 20% of their total round wins, which means they've won 80% of their rounds convincingly. Na`Vi has only won 64% of their rounds while losing less than three members.

Danylo "Zeus" Teslenko's frags have been the most valuable so far in the two teams' matches in Kiev, as he has scored at least one kill in 71% of Na`Vi's round wins.

Alesund comes as a close second at 70%, followed up by Patrik "f0rest" Lindberg at 66%, Sukhariev at 60% and Markelov at 59%. Additionally, teams on average win 90% of the rounds where a player scores three or more kills for his team.

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Something to also consider is the crowd that without a doubt will once again be present at CyberSports ARENA. They get extremely loud at times, so much so in fact that Trynozhenko once asked them to quiet down once a round starts.

Don't believe me? Here's a video recorded by Alexander "petr1k" Petrik, showing the final round of Virtus.pro match. Another short clip was posted on the CIS-portal vk.com, and you can view it here.

Both teams will get to eliminate one map from the five map pool, and if it goes to the fourth map, the deciding map will be drawn from the two that were eliminated. Na`Vi doesn't play de_nuke_se, and NiP will likely get rid of de_inferno_se.

The Ukrainians proved they are capable of winning on de_mirage_ce, and weren't too far from winning the series on de_dust2_se. They did however, despite their win online in March, look completely outmatched on de_train_se.

Will GeT_RiGhT & co get back to their winning ways? 

It's hard to favor Natus Vincere in the series simply because they come from the lower bracket and I think having to win three out of four maps against the world's best team is tall task for anyone.

If Markelov can play like he did yesterday and both Trynozhenko and Ischuk continue clutching rounds, and the crowd affects NiP, I wouldn't rule it out, but most likely the Swedes will clinch this series, whether it takes two, three or four maps.

The SLTV StarSeries VI grand final is expected to start at 16:00 with NiP needing to win just two maps in the best-of-five, while Na`Vi would have to win three to win the tournament.

Who are you rooting for in the finals? Do you think Na`Vi can pull off the unlikely upset and celebrate in Kiev, or will NiP cruise to another tournament win after surviving the Virtus.pro match?