NiP vs. EnVyUs statistical preview

These two rosters have faced off an overwhelmingly many times - on total of twenty-two maps dating back to February 22. To make the analysis more relevant, we have narrowed down our sample size.

With six maps played after April 23 - more than two months back - we have focused solely on those six, and ignored the sixteen others in orders to get more accurate and useful information out of our analysis.

For the record, in their twenty-two encounters EnVyUs are up sizably, 14-8 in maps, with tied scores only on de_cobblestone and de_dust2, and a huge 4-1 lead on de_inferno.

Once focused on the more recent games - which give a better idea of these teams' capabilities and their players form in their head-to-head series - NiP are actually up 4-2 in maps.

Date	Team	Score	Team	Map	Event
22 Jun	NiP	21-18	EnVyUs	de_cache	FACEIT
11 Jun	NiP	16-3	EnVyUs	de_cobblestone	ESL ESEA
11 Jun	NiP	12-16	EnVyUs	de_train	FACEIT
24 Apr	NiP	16-11	EnVyUs	de_mirage	CCS Finals
24 Apr	NiP	36-33	EnVyUs	de_dust2	CCS Finals
24 Apr	NiP	10-16	EnVyUs	de_cache	CCS Finals
Average	NiP	18.5-16.2	EnVyUs

With only six maps played, there's no need to create a map matrix, as you can easily see the teams are tied on de_cache, the BoysInBlue lead on de_train, and NiP have a 1-0 edge on others.

NiP beat EnVyUs in a best-of-three series at CCS Finals - including the marathon 36-33 overtime game that inflates the average score - and the three more recent games were played online.

Let's then take a look at how these players have fared overall on the six maps, with statistics combined for their games from our database:

Notably the best two players have been Vincent "⁠Happy⁠" Schopenhauer and Aleksi "⁠allu⁠" Jalli, while Patrik "⁠f0rest⁠" Lindberg and Richard "⁠shox⁠" Papillon have struggled especially much.

In fact, the only player whose rating is above their 2015 rating in these matches is NiP's lonely Finn, with a rating surplus of 0.05. Others range between 0.01 and 0.21 in the negative.

Largest drop-offs have been shox at -0.21 and his teammate Edouard "⁠SmithZz⁠" Dubourdeaux at -0.17. All other players have been playing within 0.1 of their 2015 rating so far.

Then, let's take a look at each team's statistics in their wins. First up are statistics for the four maps NiP have won out of six:

Now, in order to draw some comparisons between the two, are the statistics for the two maps - small sample size, but others were far too old to matter - EnVy have won:

Most notably allu is actually the only player whose rating has been better in losses than in wins - an anomaly, especially since his rating in wins is equal to his 2015 average.

The largest two jumps in their wins are f0rest and Adam "⁠friberg⁠" Friberg, at 0.39 and 0.45, respectively. Huge changes, which would make below average players the world's best.

Not far behind is nV's Nathan "⁠NBK-⁠" Schmitt at a gain of 0.37, and then all of Richard "⁠Xizt⁠" Landström, Happy and SmithZz somewhere between 0.24 and 0.28.

Average differential in rating difference from wins to losses among these ten players in these series were 0.22, with Fabien "⁠kioShiMa⁠" Fiey with a second smallest change at 0.13.

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