First kills Pick'Em - Who to choose?

Day one of ESL One Cologne is over and it's time to make your Pick'Em Challenge day two predictions, so we list list the stats for the remaining players in the category first kills.

The HS% guessing game didn't go too well for most users, and according to unofficial information not even one person in the world guessed all four players correctly - as Stephen "⁠reltuC⁠" Cutler, Dennis "⁠dennis⁠" Edman, Karol "⁠rallen⁠" Rodowicz and Chris "⁠emagine⁠" Rowlands ended up topping their respective groups in that stat.

Day two should involve less blind luck as you have to predict who will have the most first kills, which will also depend on some teams playing two maps. 

What is a first kill?

First kill refers to a first kill of a round, regardless of the player's side. The reason first kills matter is because the team that creates a 5vs4 situation increases its chances of winning the round to around 75%.

The average amout of first kills is 0.10, as there are 10 players at the start of each round, therefore the likelihood of getting the first kill is 1/10.

The task is to guess which player will have the most total first kills in each group tomorrow, but we will list the averages to demostrate which players have shown certain proficiency in this regard throughout their careers.

Without further ado here are the tables with the players' career first kills per round, career succes rate, first kills per round at majors overall and on day one of ESL One Cologne.

Hopefully the above tables will help you who to choose - or at least who not to choose, but remember these are just stats from the past matches, they will not determine the future.

Stay tuned to HLTV.org and make sure to keep a tab open on our Pick'Em Challenge dedicated stats page which will be updated right after each match.

Australia Chris 'emagine' Rowlands
Chris 'emagine' Rowlands
Age:
24
Team:
Rating 1.0:
0.93
Maps played:
30
KPR:
0.66
DPR:
0.72
United States Stephen 'reltuC' Cutler
Stephen 'reltuC' Cutler
Age:
26
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.00
Maps played:
128
KPR:
0.68
DPR:
0.65
Sweden Dennis 'dennis' Edman
Dennis 'dennis' Edman
Age:
24
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.07
Maps played:
181
KPR:
0.74
DPR:
0.67
Poland Karol 'rallen' Rodowicz
Karol 'rallen' Rodowicz
Age:
21
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.02
Maps played:
111
KPR:
0.71
DPR:
0.69
iam not buying any more shit stickers i will use i already buy. this is a gold mine for valve obv
2015-08-21 04:24
0
7 replies
#8
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Iceland sl33zy
sticker money goes for players
2015-08-21 04:25
0
5 replies
50%
2015-08-21 04:27
0
1 reply
#24
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
mir | 
Serbia Krimzynn
60%
2015-08-21 04:41
0
and what does valve do? they already get 14 euro from every user? they are not doing shit
2015-08-21 04:37
0
2 replies
#59
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
cyx | 
Russia aztz
10% from market 50% from stickers 250000 we dont wanna change anything guys :D
2015-08-21 09:42
0
#101
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Sweden LyyK
Because sustaining an online community is equivalent to not doing shit. It's not like all the money goes right into Gaben's pool of Benjamins.
2015-08-22 23:12
0
#87
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
DeniMM | 
Denmark pulzye
+1
2015-08-21 12:38
0
#9
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
f0rest | 
Brazil flytwNiP
F0rest
2015-08-21 04:25
0
#12
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
United Kingdom roman~
Even f0rest is a better entry fragger than friberg, the most overrated player ever, banana king ahahhahahahahahaah
2015-08-21 04:28
0
4 replies
#22
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
United States snolo
Omg hahahahahhahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahhahahahahhahahahahahhahahahahahhahahahahahahahahhahahahshshshhahahshahhahahahahhagggshagshagaagagshdjjdksos n1 m8 I lold so much
2015-08-21 04:40
0
1 reply
#39
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Canada Retroesque
baahahahahahhahahahahahahah
2015-08-21 06:46
0
#89
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Sweden limpaaan
friberg overrated? It's been a looooooong time since ANYONE said anything good about him...
2015-08-21 13:22
0
1 reply
friberg best
2015-08-21 13:48
0
Well, maybe Fox is like Freak. He gets the entry kill most of the time, but is never really the best player or a consistent player.
2015-08-21 04:29
0
1 reply
#27
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Portugal dascouves
nah m8, fox just has those carrer stats cause of the times on k1ck, when he awp so much. on kinguin hes not good entryfragger
2015-08-21 04:48
0
#14
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Andorra Pocoto
i think fer in group H
2015-08-21 04:31
0
1 reply
#100
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Brazil fudencio100
maybe boltz or coldzera, I would choose boltz, if he does decent, as he did against kuingin, his entrys are insane!
2015-08-21 15:29
0
#15
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Australia Hutchie
How many do you have to get correct to get gold, assuming you only bet on what teams win?
2015-08-21 04:31
0
3 replies
#26
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
mir | 
Serbia Krimzynn
You need 75 points for gold. Keep in mind that you get 2 points for just participating, so why not pick some players regardless, at least for those 2 guaranteeded 2 points.
2015-08-21 04:43
0
2 replies
#34
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Poland nEUTR89
150 points, not 75
2015-08-21 05:20
0
1 reply
#82
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Bulgaria Frodeo
It's 75 actually.
2015-08-21 12:14
0
#16
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Poland PAPAJx
nt
2015-08-21 04:34
0
Valve tricked players into buying autograph stickers for no reason,there is a reason why i didnt bother at all.Normal pickem is undersandable. HS% pickem is just stupid.
2015-08-21 04:38
0
6 replies
#25
Faceit level 9 Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
jOELZ | 
Poland stich - HLTV.org
how is it a trick? if you don't want to play, you don't have to.
2015-08-21 04:42
0
5 replies
Tricked as in,people thought it would be easy right? The fact that not 1 person got it right says something. Again how can one pick who will get the most first kills lol. If u check comments regarding player pick em,thats the general consensus now... People feel robbed because they all bought Scream Stickers ,which cost a LOT :P
2015-08-21 05:03
0
3 replies
#50
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
World HungDaddy
Lol, you mean dumb people. Even I called that someone will get like one kill and have 100% HS. Even though the right players got more than that it's still the same effect.
2015-08-21 08:34
0
2 replies
#85
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Slovenia Asgarnian
Yeah 4 kills xD
2015-08-21 12:26
0
1 reply
#86
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
World HungDaddy
It's more than one and the chances of having 4 kills with 4 headshots is much lower than having 1 kill with 1 headshot. But either way this player pick'em shit is retarded lmaoo
2015-08-21 12:27
0
2015-08-21 08:38
0
#19
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
ScreaM | 
Dominican Republic casxd
nah i will not buy anymore stickers pickem is rigged -.-
2015-08-21 04:38
0
#20
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
United States Znoisuled
fak
2015-08-21 04:39
0
#23
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Reunion ramowarr
nt fox
2015-08-21 04:40
0
#28
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Finland zeperyck
Well, looks like I still can use the overpriced scream sticker I bought earlier. Also using gob b, hazed and smithzz just because they're cheap and I don't feel like wasting much more on this shitty player pick em.
2015-08-21 04:51
0
1 reply
#53
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Ukraine Tokira
Scream sticker is down to $1 already :D
2015-08-21 08:45
0
#32
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Finland romulonery
fer for sure
2015-08-21 05:08
0
#33
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
United Kingdom FlaNky
Last major I was so happy and sitting watching it all. This one I think is pretty shit... :/
2015-08-21 05:17
0
1 reply
#84
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Estonia Psoocho
needs more ninjas :P
2015-08-21 12:21
0
fox has to entry frag just to get to t-spawn to pickup a glock
2015-08-21 05:46
0
#37
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Ukraine half3lyfe
Not sure if I should go for Tarik or Hazed. Also not sure about ScreaM or Maikelele
2015-08-21 05:49
0
10 replies
#40
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
HenryG | 
Finland no_man
rather go for jdm cause he is cheaper
2015-08-21 07:03
0
9 replies
#41
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Ukraine half3lyfe
Already did its JDM Maikelelel SmithZz ChrisJ
2015-08-21 07:08
0
8 replies
#42
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
HenryG | 
Finland no_man
jdm allu freak fer too lazy to buy new stickers so fuck it yolo
2015-08-21 07:09
0
7 replies
#43
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Portugal mokas753
You need to pick a guy that will do 2 matchs. Its most probably This teams (with 2 matchs) have more entry frags
2015-08-21 07:36
0
6 replies
#47
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
HenryG | 
Finland no_man
-jdm +edward i guess then (again too lazy to buy stickers)
2015-08-21 07:59
0
#55
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Poland TheDarkusPL
shhh, ppl are stupid and they will pick guardian... so stay low. Finally someone use his mind not statisticks
2015-08-21 09:12
0
4 replies
#64
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Finland RaptoRStillAlive
And this article mentioned that but people only read the graphs :D
2015-08-21 10:29
0
3 replies
#65
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Poland TheDarkusPL
yep, ppl picking skadoodle but he is playing only 1 match, Just opened 5 c9 capsules, 4 skadoodles, +10$ profit :)
2015-08-21 10:33
0
2 replies
#74
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
World 3del!
lol im trade banned fml.... :(
2015-08-21 11:20
0
#81
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Finland RaptoRStillAlive
lol only good one I got was scream all the others I opened were pretty much shit :D
2015-08-21 12:07
0
Question: Would the first kill stats accumulate with the following deciders match? Eg Assuming kinguin is the winner, 1st kill stats from player x in kinguin vs immunity + 1st kill stats from player x in kinguin vs c9?
2015-08-21 07:42
0
2 replies
#45
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Portugal mokas753
I think so! Read my answer above this. In HS pick'em it was the same, the winners only made a game, like dennis > one game, 9k/9HS > 100% > STUPiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiD!
2015-08-21 07:51
0
1 reply
Idk valve could have at least been more clear about the calculation
2015-08-21 08:38
0
#48
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
device | 
Denmark WitteCS
Thanks again! Please keep making Pick 'Em posts with % :-D!
2015-08-21 08:27
0
Think about that 2 teams of each group only get to play 1 game and 1 team get to play 2 games.. The winner of the first match in every group Example Kinguin-immunity will play and the winner will play against Cloud9 and get double rounds probably, so the best would be to bet with a player that u think is the best in the team that will advance from the first game..
2015-08-21 09:27
0
#57
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Italy Pork3
guardian very strong entry sniper.. i like his style
2015-08-21 09:27
0
Tho im happy if they will go 1 match each cause i opened guardian and chrisj and forest yesterday :P
2015-08-21 09:28
0
#61
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Finland RaptoRStillAlive
Just going for someone who will play 2 games most likely
2015-08-21 09:54
0
#62
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Other perekuR
ez guardian
2015-08-21 10:24
0
#63
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Germany Plitzkrieg
Until when can i set my bets? waited till 23:30 yesterday and was still unable to bet for today ... and now i have to work. when is the deadline?
2015-08-21 10:25
0
REMEMBER some teams play 2 matches and some 1 -_-.
2015-08-21 10:39
0
#68
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Romania unturbat
Whom* to choose?
2015-08-21 11:05
0
#70
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Turkey catmandoo
Where is jw
2015-08-21 11:09
0
#71
Faceit level 10 Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Jee | 
Hungary stackz1e
thx
2015-08-21 11:12
0
#75
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
World DelfiNN
hazed ScreaM shox ChrisJ
2015-08-21 11:26
0
#76
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
tarik | 
United States jjh
lol this is gonna be another random shit just like with hs% fucking lmao not pickem
2015-08-21 11:45
0
#79
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Costa Rica Gomezio
Nice entries, Friberg :>
2015-08-21 12:05
0
#83
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
United States h2ger
shox
2015-08-21 12:21
0
#91
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
 | 
Seychelles hltv_b8r
Hyper rain shox chrisj
2015-08-21 13:33
0
I'm pretty sure it's total first kills not per round, so these stats are pretty useless
2015-08-21 14:50
0
#96
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Sweden richQUE
So, both dennis and rain got 10 first kills over both matches (vs immunity, vs cloud9). Are both able to win "pick'em challange first killer" os it it only one who will win? And if so, is it totally random who the winner will be?
2015-08-21 15:01
0
3 replies
#97
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
United Kingdom LaserCrab
I picked rain but it hasn't registered my points yet.
2015-08-21 15:07
0
2 replies
#98
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Sweden richQUE
Same here, I hope they both will be announced as the winner of group E.
2015-08-21 15:09
0
#99
Old school: User been here for more than 10 years  | 
Italy fraqi
picked dennis over ska at last second, i really hope they will give 6 pts to both, and save my c9 pick on teams XD
2015-08-21 15:12
0
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