Astralis vs. Complexity at BLAST Premier Spring Series 2020

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	47-43	null-null	+4	91.0	0.0	67.3%	0.0%	1.16
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	40-42	null-null	-2	75.7	0.0	56.4%	0.0%	0.97
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	30-38	null-null	-8	67.5	0.0	76.4%	0.0%	0.94
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	31-41	null-null	-10	60.8	0.0	67.3%	0.0%	0.87
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	26-35	null-null	-9	52.9	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	0.72

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	32-22	null-null	+10	111.6	0.0	76.7%	0.0%	1.43
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	23-18	null-null	+5	87.3	0.0	76.7%	0.0%	1.21
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	22-23	null-null	-1	81.7	0.0	70.0%	0.0%	1.00
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	18-18	null-null	0	72.7	0.0	83.3%	0.0%	0.99
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	18-17	null-null	+1	51.6	0.0	63.3%	0.0%	0.82

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	18-19	null-null	-1	68.4	0.0	40.0%	0.0%	0.94
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	12-20	null-null	-8	61.3	0.0	68.0%	0.0%	0.89
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	15-21	null-null	-6	66.2	0.0	56.0%	0.0%	0.84
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	8-18	null-null	-10	54.6	0.0	56.0%	0.0%	0.61
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	8-23	null-null	-15	29.1	0.0	56.0%	0.0%	0.46

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	45-32	null-null	+13	74.9	0.0	72.7%	0.0%	1.25
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	39-31	null-null	+8	87.2	0.0	70.9%	0.0%	1.22
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	38-38	null-null	0	80.1	0.0	80.0%	0.0%	1.11
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	44-39	null-null	+5	75.1	0.0	69.1%	0.0%	1.10
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	32-34	null-null	-2	73.7	0.0	70.9%	0.0%	1.03

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	21-11	null-null	+10	86.0	0.0	88.0%	0.0%	1.37
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	20-11	null-null	+9	97.4	0.0	84.0%	0.0%	1.35
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	20-13	null-null	+7	85.5	0.0	76.0%	0.0%	1.30
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	23-12	null-null	+11	77.2	0.0	76.0%	0.0%	1.25
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	17-14	null-null	+3	81.5	0.0	88.0%	0.0%	1.11

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	25-19	null-null	+6	66.0	0.0	70.0%	0.0%	1.22
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	19-20	null-null	-1	78.8	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.11
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	21-24	null-null	-3	79.0	0.0	73.3%	0.0%	1.10
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	21-27	null-null	-6	73.3	0.0	63.3%	0.0%	0.97
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	11-23	null-null	-12	63.5	0.0	56.7%	0.0%	0.75

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	22-19	null-null	+3	81.9	0.0	63.0%	0.0%	1.16
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	23-19	null-null	+4	79.2	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	1.13
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	13-19	null-null	-6	70.8	0.0	74.1%	0.0%	0.96
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	13-20	null-null	-7	54.7	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	0.71
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	11-19	null-null	-8	48.4	0.0	51.9%	0.0%	0.58

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	16-11	null-null	+5	92.2	0.0	80.0%	0.0%	1.29
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	11-11	null-null	0	77.7	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	1.05
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	9-10	null-null	-1	73.7	0.0	73.3%	0.0%	0.96
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	7-11	null-null	-4	77.9	0.0	73.3%	0.0%	0.86
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	9-11	null-null	-2	54.1	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	0.68

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	11-8	null-null	+3	87.1	0.0	58.3%	0.0%	1.29
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	6-8	null-null	-2	61.9	0.0	75.0%	0.0%	1.08
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	7-8	null-null	-1	63.0	0.0	50.0%	0.0%	0.93
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	2-8	null-null	-6	41.4	0.0	41.7%	0.0%	0.44
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	4-10	null-null	-6	31.1	0.0	58.3%	0.0%	0.40

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	22-15	null-null	+7	80.9	0.0	77.8%	0.0%	1.27
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	22-17	null-null	+5	88.7	0.0	70.4%	0.0%	1.22
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	20-14	null-null	+6	81.1	0.0	70.4%	0.0%	1.22
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	14-16	null-null	-2	69.9	0.0	77.8%	0.0%	1.04
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	18-20	null-null	-2	65.9	0.0	63.0%	0.0%	1.02

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	10-6	null-null	+4	90.4	0.0	83.3%	0.0%	1.28
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	9-6	null-null	+3	89.1	0.0	75.0%	0.0%	1.25
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	10-7	null-null	+3	64.7	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	1.14
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	7-5	null-null	+2	65.8	0.0	75.0%	0.0%	1.10
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	6-6	null-null	0	58.2	0.0	83.3%	0.0%	0.94

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	16-11	null-null	+5	113.1	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.43
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	13-9	null-null	+4	74.3	0.0	80.0%	0.0%	1.30
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	10-8	null-null	+2	73.7	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.16
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	7-11	null-null	-4	73.3	0.0	80.0%	0.0%	1.00
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	8-13	null-null	-5	66.9	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	0.91

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	24-24	null-null	0	102.4	0.0	67.9%	0.0%	1.20
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	18-21	null-null	-3	66.7	0.0	67.9%	0.0%	1.01
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	17-19	null-null	-2	64.3	0.0	78.6%	0.0%	0.93
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	15-16	null-null	-1	57.2	0.0	67.9%	0.0%	0.87
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	18-23	null-null	-5	69.7	0.0	50.0%	0.0%	0.80

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	16-11	null-null	+5	131.1	0.0	73.3%	0.0%	1.57
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	14-8	null-null	+6	100.9	0.0	80.0%	0.0%	1.46
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	11-7	null-null	+4	67.4	0.0	93.3%	0.0%	1.12
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	9-6	null-null	+3	49.1	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	0.95
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	11-12	null-null	-1	85.7	0.0	73.3%	0.0%	0.94

Astralis	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Peter 'dupreeh' Rasmussen dupreeh	6-10	null-null	-4	66.7	0.0	69.2%	0.0%	0.78
Emil 'Magisk' Reif Magisk	8-13	null-null	-5	69.2	0.0	61.5%	0.0%	0.76
Andreas 'Xyp9x' Højsleth Xyp9x	6-12	null-null	-6	60.8	0.0	61.5%	0.0%	0.72
Nicolai 'device' Reedtz device	7-11	null-null	-4	51.2	0.0	23.1%	0.0%	0.64
Lukas 'gla1ve' Rossander gla1ve	4-13	null-null	-9	27.3	0.0	53.8%	0.0%	0.49

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	23-17	null-null	+6	69.0	0.0	67.9%	0.0%	1.24
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	19-17	null-null	+2	93.1	0.0	71.4%	0.0%	1.22
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	26-19	null-null	+7	83.9	0.0	75.0%	0.0%	1.18
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	18-18	null-null	0	77.4	0.0	64.3%	0.0%	1.05
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	16-21	null-null	-5	71.9	0.0	89.3%	0.0%	1.04

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	14-6	null-null	+8	104.8	0.0	100.0%	0.0%	1.64
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	10-5	null-null	+5	103.8	0.0	84.6%	0.0%	1.42
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	11-7	null-null	+4	82.2	0.0	76.9%	0.0%	1.35
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	13-5	null-null	+8	88.8	0.0	84.6%	0.0%	1.35
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	11-8	null-null	+3	103.1	0.0	92.3%	0.0%	1.29

Complexity	K-D	eK-eD	+/-	ADR	eADR	KAST	eKAST	Rating2.0
Owen 'oBo' Schlatter oBo	12-10	null-null	+2	57.6	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.14
Valentin 'poizon' Vasilev poizon	9-12	null-null	-3	83.9	0.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.05
Kristian 'k0nfig' Wienecke k0nfig	13-14	null-null	-1	79.7	0.0	66.7%	0.0%	1.03
William 'RUSH' Wierzba RUSH	5-13	null-null	-8	44.9	0.0	86.7%	0.0%	0.82
Benjamin 'blameF' Bremer blameF	4-12	null-null	-8	53.7	0.0	33.3%	0.0%	0.54

Never bet on an extreme favorite. There is very little to win but everything to lose. It might seem like sure money, but for many reasons the favorite will fail. - Overconfidence. Take this match. Astralis have probably spend 90% of their time preparing for Navi and vitality, and 10% on Complexity. - A big underdog has a lot to prove and probably invest a lot more effort into the match. Complexity have likely had this match in the back of their heads for a long time, and not really cared for others matches. I don't think they have prepared a lot against other teams recently if at all, because all their focus was Astralis. - For a big underdog it might be very exciting to play against one of the very best teams in the world, while its boring for the other team. If you are not pumped and the other team is in the zone and excited, then that could affect the outcome. - Sometimes the stars just align correctly and everybody hit their shots on the underdog team. Sometimes the favorite sucks as well, which further increases the chance of the underdog to win. - In a human's life, many disturbing or stressful things can happen. Breakups, heartache, someone you know gets cancer, someone dies, a huge fight. Perhaps a player has a headache of slept poorly. Perhaps a player or even the entire team was under the weather. Perhaps they experience internal struggles. Many things can affect a game that is a "sure thing". That's why I never bet on huge favorites. To put it into more perspective, you should take a look ad the Henze betting system. It's very simple. You bet 100 NOK on a match with odds 1.1 and after 100 bets you will be a millionaire. Sounds easy right, because bets with odds 1.1 are "sure bets" in the eyes of many people. However they are not for the above reasons and many others. You might make it 10 games, 18 games or perhaps even 30 games, but the risk of the favorite eventually losing is quite high. However, if you truly believe in your betting analysis and want to make money, then I think it's a good system. You only gamble 100 NOK, and you can become a millionaire in only 100 games if you truly are good. You can see a table of the Henze system here if the formatting below screws up: odds.dk/henze-systemet/ Game Stake Reward 1 100 kr. 110 kr. 2 110 kr. 121 kr. 3 121 kr. 133 kr. 4 133 kr. 146 kr. 5 146 kr. 161 kr. 6 161 kr. 177 kr. 7 177 kr. 195 kr. 8 195 kr. 214 kr. 9 214 kr. 236 kr. 10 236 kr. 259 kr. 11 259 kr. 285 kr. 12 285 kr. 314 kr. 13 314 kr. 345 kr. 14 345 kr. 380 kr. 15 380 kr. 418 kr. 16 418 kr. 459 kr. 17 459 kr. 505 kr. 18 505 kr. 556 kr. 19 556 kr. 612 kr. 20 612 kr. 673 kr. 21 673 kr. 740 kr. 22 740 kr. 814 kr. 23 814 kr. 895 kr. 24 895 kr. 985 kr. 25 985 kr. 1.083 kr. 26 1.083 kr. 1.192 kr. 27 1.192 kr. 1.311 kr. 28 1.311 kr. 1.442 kr. 29 1.442 kr. 1586 kr. 30 1.586 kr. 1.745 kr. 31 1.745 kr. 1.919 kr. 32 1.919 kr. 2.111 kr. 33 2.111 kr. 2.323 kr. 34 2.323 kr. 2.555 kr. 35 2.555 kr. 2.810 kr. 36 2.810 kr. 3.091 kr. 37 3.091 kr. 3.400 kr. 38 3.400 kr. 3.740 kr. 39 3.740 kr. 4.114 kr. 40 4.114 kr. 4.526 kr. 41 4.526 kr. 4.979 kr. 42 4.979 kr. 5.476 kr. 43 5.476 kr. 6.024 kr. 44 6.024 kr. 6.626 kr. 45 6.626 kr. 7.289 kr. 46 7.289 kr. 8.018 kr. 47 8.018 kr. 8.820 kr. 48 8.820 kr. 9.702 kr. 49 9.702 kr. 10.672 kr. 50 10.672 kr. 11.739 kr. 51 11.739 kr. 12.913 kr. 52 12.913 kr. 14.204 kr. 53 14.204 kr. 15.625 kr. 54 15.625 kr. 17.187 kr. 55 17.187 kr. 18.906 kr. 56 18.906 kr. 20.797 kr. 57 20.797 kr. 22.876 kr. 58 22.876 kr. 25.164 kr. 59 25.164 kr. 27.680 kr. 60 27.680 kr. 30.448 kr. 61 30.448 kr. 33.493 kr. 62 33.493 kr. 36.842 kr. 63 36.842 kr. 40.527 kr. 64 40.527 kr. 44.579 kr. 65 44.579 kr. 49.037 kr. 66 49.037 kr. 53.941 kr. 67 54.941 kr. 59.335 kr. 68 59.335 kr. 65.268 kr. 69 65.268 kr. 71.795 kr. 70 71.795 kr. 78.975 kr. 71 78.975 kr. 86.872 kr. 72 86.872 kr. 95.559 kr. 73 95.559 kr. 105.115 kr. 74 105.115 kr. 115.627 kr. 75 115.672 kr. 127.190 kr. 76 127.1909 kr. 139.908 kr. 77 139.908 kr. 153.899 kr. 78 153.899 kr. 169.289 kr. 79 169.289 kr. 186.218 kr. 80 186.218 kr. 204.840 kr. 81 204.840 kr. 225.324 kr. 82 225.324 kr. 247.856 kr. 83 247.856 kr. 272.642 kr. 84 272.642 kr. 299.906 kr. 85 299.906 kr. 329.897 kr. 86 329.897 kr. 362.887 kr. 87 362.887 kr. 399.175 kr. 88 399.175 kr. 439.093 kr. 89 439.093 kr. 483.002 kr. 90 483.002 kr. 531.302 kr. 91 531.302 kr. 584.432 kr. 92 584.432 kr. 642.876 kr. 93 642.876 kr. 707.163 kr. 94 707.163 kr. 777.880 kr. 95 777.880 kr. 855.668 kr. 96 855.668 kr. 941.234 kr. 97 941.234 kr. 1.035.358 kr. 98 1.035.358 kr. 1.138.894 kr. 99 1.138.894 kr. 1.252.783 kr. 100 1.252.783 kr. 1.378.061 kr.

2020-02-08 00:10

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